Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1967 |
STO
1 - 3
NTT
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
NTT
3 - 0
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
MAC
4 - 2
STO
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
STO
0 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1967 |
LEE
2 - 0
STO
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1967 |
SUN
3 - 3
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
SOU
0 - 0
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |