Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
BBU
4 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
STO
1 - 2
LEE
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 2
STO
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
STO
2 - 0
TOT
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
STO
1 - 1
ARS
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
NEW
5 - 1
WOL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
HUR
4 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
LEI
3 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |