Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
32.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 1
STO
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
BIR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
NTT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
TOT
3 - 1
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
TOT
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
HUR
2 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1923 |
WBA
2 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |