Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
STO
3 - 0
BOL
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
PNE
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
MID
5 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
STO
3 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 0
STO
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 0
NEW
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
NEW
4 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
SHE
0 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
NEW
4 - 3
NOT
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |