Stoke City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 2
STO
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STO
2 - 0
IPS
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
STO
15%
25%
60%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STO
2 - 2
QPR
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PNE
3 - 2
MIL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 2
HUL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |