Stoke City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
OPA
3 - 0
STO
67%
19%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
STO
1 - 2
GRI
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
WAL
4 - 2
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
STO
1 - 2
WAT
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ROT
4 - 0
STO
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 2
LEI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 1
PNE
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
REA
2 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
SHW
0 - 1
MIL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MIL
3 - 0
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |