Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
STO
3 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
4 - 1
STO
81%
12%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
CHA
4 - 0
STO
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
STO
2 - 3
BPO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
MID
4 - 0
WOL
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
SUN
3 - 1
MID
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 0
ASV
47%
23%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |