Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
STO
2 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
MID
1 - 0
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
CHA
2 - 0
STO
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1951 |
STO
0 - 0
TOT
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
2 - 0
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
MID
2 - 1
ASV
69%
16%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
MID
1 - 0
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
2 - 0
MID
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1951 |
MID
1 - 1
LIV
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |