Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1938 |
CHA
4 - 2
STO
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
LEI
2 - 2
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1938 |
STO
2 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1938 |
HUR
3 - 0
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
STO
1 - 2
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
MID
1 - 1
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
MID
3 - 1
MUD
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1938 |
MID
4 - 1
WBA
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
3 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
MID
0 - 3
WOL
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |