Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 1
STO
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1937 |
STO
1 - 1
GRI
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
GRI
1 - 5
STO
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
STO
0 - 1
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
LEI
2 - 0
STO
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
MID
2 - 1
SUN
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1937 |
MID
2 - 0
LEE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
5 - 3
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
MID
2 - 2
BPO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |