Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
STO
3 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
STO
1 - 1
BBU
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
STO
2 - 0
BOL
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
BUR
3 - 0
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 2
MID
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |