Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1907 |
STO
2 - 0
ARS
42%
24%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
STO
3 - 1
BCF
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
SHW
0 - 1
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
STO
81%
12%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 4
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
4 - 2
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |