Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 1
STO
57%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
STO
1 - 0
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
STO
1 - 0
LEI
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 0
STO
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
0 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1974 |
EVE
1 - 0
MUD
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |