Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
TOT
3 - 0
STO
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
STO
0 - 1
SHW
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
WBA
3 - 0
STO
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1968 |
STO
2 - 0
WHU
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
SOU
1 - 2
STO
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
MUD
3 - 0
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
COV
2 - 0
MUD
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
GÓR
1 - 0
MUD
31%
24%
46%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
MUD
1 - 3
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |