Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 0
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
STO
0 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
NEW
1 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
HAL
1 - 0
STO
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
STO
5 - 1
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
MUD
0 - 3
WOL
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
EVE
2 - 1
MUD
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1953 |
AVE
2 - 5
MUD
21%
21%
58%
|
87 | 16 | 71 | 0 |