Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
BPO
3 - 0
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
STO
2 - 0
MID
44%
24%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
STO
2 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
MID
1 - 0
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
CHA
2 - 0
STO
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
MUD
4 - 1
CHL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
DER
2 - 4
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUD
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
MUD
2 - 0
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |