Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
SHW
0 - 0
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
STO
0 - 2
PNE
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
OPA
1 - 0
STO
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1936 |
STO
2 - 2
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
WBA
2 - 2
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
OPA
2 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
BRE
4 - 0
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
PNE
3 - 1
MUD
59%
20%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |