Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
OLD
1 - 2
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
STO
1 - 0
SOU
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
OLD
2 - 0
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
MIL
2 - 3
STO
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SUN
0 - 0
STO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 0
IPS
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
64%
22%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 0
SHW
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |