Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
WHU
1 - 0
STO
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1971 |
STO
1 - 1
BPO
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
STO
0 - 1
LIV
38%
31%
32%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1971 |
STO
1 - 0
WOL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
CRY
3 - 2
STO
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1971 |
NEW
0 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
HUR
1 - 0
MAC
30%
30%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |