Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1952 |
STO
3 - 2
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
STO
3 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
4 - 1
STO
81%
12%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
CHA
4 - 0
STO
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
STO
2 - 3
BPO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
STO
3 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 2
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |