Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
MID
6 - 1
STO
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
STO
1 - 1
BIR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
WBA
5 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
STO
1 - 1
ASV
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
SHE
1 - 2
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
MAC
0 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |