Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 0
STO
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
STO
1 - 1
SHW
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 1
STO
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1906 |
STO
1 - 1
BBU
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
STO
2 - 0
EVE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
MAC
0 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
MAC
0 - 1
BRI
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |