EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-3
Stoke City vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
STO
2 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
MAC
3 - 1
STO
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
1 - 3
STO
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
STO
2 - 5
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
STO
2 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
MAC
3 - 1
STO
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 1
FUL
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
MAC
3 - 2
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |