Stoke City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
FUL
3 - 3
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1964 |
LEI
3 - 2
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
STO
1 - 1
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
BIR
0 - 1
STO
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
WBA
2 - 2
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 1
LIV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
LIV
5 - 0
ARS
63%
19%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1964 |
BUR
0 - 3
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
LIV
3 - 0
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |