Stoke City vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1938 |
LEE
2 - 1
STO
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
STO
0 - 1
LEE
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
BRE
0 - 0
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 1
WOL
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 0
GRI
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
WOL
10 - 1
LEI
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
CHL
4 - 1
LEI
57%
21%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
LEI
0 - 1
MID
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |