Stoke City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SHW
2 - 0
STO
50%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STO
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
LUT
2 - 1
STO
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
STO
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
BUR
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LEE
4 - 0
OXF
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PNE
1 - 1
LEE
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
LEE
3 - 1
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BBU
1 - 0
LEE
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |