Stoke City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
STO
3 - 2
DER
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1946 |
BOL
3 - 2
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
MID
5 - 4
STO
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1946 |
STO
1 - 2
BOL
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
STO
2 - 2
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
CHL
3 - 0
LEE
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
LEE
2 - 2
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1946 |
LEE
0 - 2
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
PNE
3 - 2
LEE
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
LEE
0 - 1
SHE
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |