Stoke City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
BRE
0 - 0
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
WOL
2 - 2
STO
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
SUN
0 - 0
LEE
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
45%
23%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
LEE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
LEE
0 - 2
DER
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
BPO
5 - 2
LEE
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |