Stoke City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
STO
3 - 0
HUR
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 5
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
EVE
2 - 2
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1947 |
STO
1 - 1
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1947 |
WOL
3 - 0
STO
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 1
BBU
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 5
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
GRI
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 3
BPO
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1947 |
HUR
3 - 2
GRI
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |