Stoke City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
GRI
1 - 5
STO
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
STO
0 - 1
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
LEI
2 - 0
STO
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
STO
3 - 0
BRE
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
EVE
3 - 0
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
GRI
1 - 5
STO
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
GRI
0 - 0
DER
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
BPO
2 - 2
GRI
37%
23%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
GRI
2 - 1
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
MAC
3 - 1
GRI
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |