Stoke City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1966 |
STO
2 - 0
TOT
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
NTT
1 - 2
STO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
STO
1 - 0
WHU
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
STO
3 - 1
SHW
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
FUL
1 - 1
STO
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1966 |
BUR
3 - 0
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
FUL
0 - 1
EVE
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
NEW
1 - 1
FUL
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
FUL
1 - 1
STO
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1966 |
NTT
1 - 2
FUL
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |