Stoke City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
TOT
2 - 2
STO
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
ASV
0 - 1
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 1
STO
71%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
STO
1 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 4
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
SHW
1 - 0
FUL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 1
NTT
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
WBA
6 - 2
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |