Stoke City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
STO
2 - 0
WBA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
WHU
0 - 1
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
STO
4 - 1
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 2
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
FUL
4 - 1
NTT
47%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 2
CHL
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
FUL
0 - 1
BUR
43%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
BUR
4 - 0
FUL
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
FUL
3 - 1
WBA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |