Stoke City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 2
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
STO
0 - 1
OPA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
6 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |