Stoke City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
WOL
3 - 0
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
STO
3 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
STO
1 - 2
GRI
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
BPO
1 - 1
STO
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
EVE
3 - 0
MUD
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 0
EVE
44%
23%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
EVE
4 - 0
MID
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
LEI
3 - 0
EVE
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
EVE
4 - 0
LEE
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |