Stoke City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1923 |
BBU
1 - 5
STO
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
EVE
4 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
EVE
4 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
HUR
1 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
EVE
3 - 1
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 3
HUR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |