Stoke City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 0
STO
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BHA
1 - 5
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
STO
0 - 1
COV
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
REA
3 - 1
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
DER
2 - 2
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DER
0 - 2
SHW
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
IPS
2 - 0
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
DER
1 - 1
HUL
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 1
DER
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |