Stoke City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ARS
0 - 0
STO
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
STO
0 - 0
MID
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
STO
1 - 1
NTT
22%
29%
49%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
NOR
2 - 2
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
MUD
4 - 0
STO
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
DER
1 - 3
ASV
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1979 |
WOL
0 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
DER
4 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
SOU
4 - 0
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |