Stoke City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
HUR
0 - 0
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
STO
2 - 3
WOL
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
ASV
1 - 0
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
STO
2 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
STO
3 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
OPA
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
PNE
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 3
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1948 |
DER
1 - 2
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |