Stoke City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1937 |
STO
4 - 0
WBA
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
MID
2 - 1
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1937 |
WBA
0 - 1
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
STO
2 - 2
BIR
60%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
GRI
1 - 3
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1937 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
DER
2 - 2
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1937 |
DER
1 - 2
WOL
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
LEI
0 - 0
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
WOL
3 - 1
DER
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |