Stoke City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
STO
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
STO
2 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
MAC
1 - 2
STO
68%
17%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
STO
0 - 3
ARS
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
BIR
0 - 5
STO
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
DER
1 - 0
BBU
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 0
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
DER
3 - 1
WOL
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
ASV
0 - 2
DER
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |