Stoke City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LUT
2 - 2
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STO
0 - 0
BIR
31%
30%
40%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 0
STO
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BHA
1 - 5
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 2
SWI
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BOS
4 - 1
DAR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
STA
0 - 2
DAR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
DAR
4 - 0
MAC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 1
WRE
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |