Stoke City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 Feb. 2003 |
GRI
2 - 0
STO
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
01 Feb. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 2
STO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
26 Jan. 2003 |
STO
3 - 0
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
18 Jan. 2003 |
STO
1 - 3
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
11 Jan. 2003 |
LEI
0 - 0
STO
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 Feb. 2003 |
BIR
1 - 3
CHL
20%
26%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
01 Feb. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 1
TOT
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
28 Jan. 2003 |
CHL
3 - 2
LEE
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
26 Jan. 2003 |
STF
0 - 4
CHL
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
18 Jan. 2003 |
MUD
2 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |