EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-0
Stoke City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
STO
0 - 0
TRA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
BIR
1 - 1
STO
60%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
WAT
3 - 0
STO
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
STO
0 - 1
OLD
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
IPS
4 - 1
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
CHL
3 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1995 |
WHU
1 - 3
CHL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
CHL
2 - 2
COV
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |