Stoke City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1950 |
OPA
5 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1950 |
STO
1 - 1
SHW
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
STO
2 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1950 |
SHW
1 - 1
STO
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
STO
4 - 1
DER
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 1
WBA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 2
HUR
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |