Stoke City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
STO
3 - 0
DER
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1939 |
MUD
0 - 1
STO
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
STO
6 - 3
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 3
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
MID
5 - 1
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
CHL
0 - 1
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
CHL
4 - 2
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
LEI
3 - 2
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 2
LEE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
LEE
1 - 1
CHL
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |