Stoke City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
ASV
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
STO
1 - 2
OPA
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1935 |
ARS
2 - 0
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
STO
3 - 1
BBU
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
MID
2 - 0
STO
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
HUR
3 - 0
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1935 |
CHL
3 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
GRI
3 - 1
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
CHL
0 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |