Stoke City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
OLD
4 - 1
STO
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
STO
3 - 0
BRI
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
BRI
2 - 0
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
NTT
3 - 1
STO
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
STO
1 - 1
BPO
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 4
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
SUN
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |