Stoke City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
STO
1 - 3
CRY
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
WOL
0 - 0
STO
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 1
STO
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
STO
2 - 1
MIL
41%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
STO
0 - 1
BIR
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 3
REA
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
COV
1 - 0
BUR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOL
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
IPS
2 - 1
BUR
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |