Stoke City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
BPO
1 - 1
STO
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
STO
3 - 2
FUL
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
TOT
2 - 2
STO
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
ASV
0 - 1
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
4 - 2
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
FUL
0 - 5
BUR
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOT
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
BUR
3 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |